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Immigration will cost Republicans House seats in 2020, study confirms

It should now be clear to everyone why Democrats don’t want a citizenship question on the 2020 census. U.S. House of Representatives seats are apportioned based on the total population, which includes undocumented immigrants, and the Electoral College is based on the number of congressional seats. New test states that immigration policies support Democrats take seats from Republicans and give Democrats more electors in the Electoral College.

A study by the Center for Immigration Studies analyzed the impact of both legal and illegal immigrants on the distribution of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives. The study found that immigrants — both legal and illegal, as well as their U.S.-born minor children — will redistribute 26 House seats in 2020. And 24 of the 26 House seats will be lost in states that voted for Donald Trump in 2016. The study found that changing a political party with just 21 representatives would be enough to flip control of the current House majority,

Solidly Democratic states California, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Illinois will gain a combined 19 seats. Texas, which is turning purple, and Florida, a swing state, are the only two states that are not solidly Democratic that are gaining seats due to immigration. The presence of all immigrants in the United States will cost Ohio three seats in 2020, and both Michigan and Pennsylvania will lose two fewer House seats in 2020. There are 19 states that will lose one House representative and one electoral vote to immigration: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.

California alone will have 11 additional seats in the House of Representatives as a result of immigration, meaning California will also have 11 additional electors in the Electoral College. Imagine if Maxine Waters’ district simply did not exist?

And the study simply examined the impact of the physical presence of immigrants on our representative system of government and how that largely benefits the Democratic Party. It did not examine how these immigrants overwhelmingly vote for Democratic politicians.

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