This is best major national poll for Trump for weeks, even though his own approval rating actually dropped by a point in the series. Hillary had a four-point lead in Quinnipiac’s last bid, a lead that has now fallen to two points — within the margin of error. Because we’ve been feeding you a steady diet of troubling news and polls for Trump (based on a relentless negative data), I feel like we owe it to you. Rays of hope:
Democrat Hillary Clinton is at 42 percent, and Republican Donald Trump is at 40 percent — too close to call — as American voters say neither candidate would make a good president and the campaign has increased hatred and prejudice in the country, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. That compares with a June 1 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University that showed Clinton leading Trump 45 percent to 41 percent. When we add independent candidates to today’s poll, Clinton will receive 39 percent and Trump 37 percent. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson will receive 8 percent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein will receive 4 percent.
They are Both in the 1930s, when Libertarians and Greens were included. Trump, who spoke about the novel Washington Post/ABC News conducted a study this week we celebrate it online:
New Q Poll – We Will Win It All and MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! #Trump2016 photo:twitter.com/dL5ahNcwZb
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 29, 2016
This demographic division are known: Women, nonwhites and newborn people overwhelmingly favor her, while men, whites and seniors overwhelmingly favor him. Each party attracts about the same percentage of its base voters, as independents are split. As usual, these are two very unpopular candidates, each with a negative rating of 57 percent:
Both top candidates received negative and positive evaluations, 34 – 57 percent for Trump and 37 – 57 percent for Clinton. Trump will not be a good president, American voters say by 58-35 percent. Clinton will not be a good president, American voters say by 53-43 percent. American voters say by 58-33 percent that Clinton is better prepared to be president than Trump; 53-33 percent that she is more bright and 46-37 percent say he has higher moral standards. But voters say 45-37 percent say Trump is more sincere and trustworthy. and 49 – 43 percent that he is a stronger leader.
She is morally superior to him, but he has the upper hand. honesty. What a year. And here’s a mix of emission preferences data from Q’s numbers:
Q poll on the following topics: photo:twitter.com/uDJkHbu3MH
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) June 29, 2016
One positive aspect of the last month for Trump supporters is the trend polls in swing states were mostly more competitive than the national numbers might indicate. A novel series of battleground polls from Ballotpedia for now it looks like something out of the ordinaryBut it would be a wake-up call for the Trump campaign if they managed to catch the birth of a novel trend (via CNN):
#BREAKING
GE Clinton beats Trump in…Michigan by 17%
Florida +14%
Pennsylvania +14%
Unavailable +10%
Ohio +9%
Virginia +7%
Iowa +4%Ballotpedia
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) June 29, 2016
What we do know is that Trump is still completely ceding the air wars to Clinton in these key battleground states, likely because he has very little cash on hand. Forgiving $50 million in campaign debt was certainly a massive step, but the competition is on and only one side is competing — very risky propositionHere final score from June, the month in which Clinton increased her lead:
AND we are heading towards July:
Ads booked for next week, according to CMAG:
Clinton’s team: $13 million
Trump Team: 0— Teddy Schleifer (@teddyschleifer) June 27, 2016
Tick ​​Tock…
