According to Bloomberg and CNN polls, Trump has a clear lead over Biden there by 4 to 10 points. Even if Biden wins a few other swing states, realistically, Biden cannot be re-elected if he loses Michigan.
A headline in liberal Newsweek calls this big change in Michigan a “nightmare” for Biden. The the recent strike of automotive workers was intended to assist Biden when he joined the picket lines, but instead it empowered Trump by establishing him as a true champion for workers in opposing electric vehicles.
General Motors announced Friday more layoffs of 1,300 auto workers in Michigan, including those who assemble its soon-to-be-discontinued Camaro muscle car because of push for electric cars. The regulatory shift to electric vehicles that Trump opposes is expected to end the economic crisis estimated 40% jobs for auto workers.
Michigan’s economy is heavily dependent on auto manufacturing, and Biden’s destruction of it is reminiscent of the liberals’ war on coal in West Virginia, which made it impossible for Biden or any Democrat to win the state. Incumbent U.S. Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) announced that he will not seek re-election because, thanks to Trump, a Democrat can no longer be elected statewide in West Virginia.
Trump is winning over many union and women voters in Michigan, building a 50-point lead there over his GOP primary challengers. Michigan’s primary is crucial because it has moved up to fifth place, after Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada, and is the last to define the race shortly before the mammoth 16-state Super Tuesday primary in early March.
Michigan has a solid third-party system, winning nearly 6% of the vote in 2016 when Trump defeated then-Hillary Clinton. Third-party candidates were tender in 2020, winning just 2% of the vote there.
This time around, a sturdy field of third-party candidates, led by famed Robert F. Kennedy Jr., progressive activist Cornel West and the Green Party’s Jill Stein, is expected to exceed third-party vote totals in 2016. in Michigan are from the Middle East and have turned against Biden for his mishandling of the Gaza crisis.
The chances of a Trump criminal trial before the election have diminished due to Trump’s recent halt (for now). biased federal prosecution Moreover, last week the Wall Street Journal reported fresh polls that suggest that even a federal conviction of Trump would have only a marginal impact in the form of a few points in the vote, which would not be enough for Biden to overcome the huge deficit he now faces in Michigan.
Democrats lack a Biden successor because DeSantis trashed Newsom during their recent debate on Fox, during which DeSantis held up a “poop map” of the homeless human waste that litters San Francisco under Newsom’s leadership. Michelle Obama lacks the temperament to run for president, it would seem too much like Hillary Clinton’s unsuccessful campaign to escalate her husband’s popularity.
Democrats have controlled Michigan’s government since 2022 and have boosted cannabis sales as a result unlimited license and low pot taxes, making them the highest per capita expenses for marijuana, more than three times that of California. Marijuana sales in Michigan are expected to top $3 billion this year with a population of just 10 million people, which translates to an average of $300 in annual pot spending per adult.
Residents are moving out en masse, leaving Michigan so desperate to stem population losses that its Democratic leaders are proposing to pay people to move. Nearly 40% of teenage adults in Michigan plan to do so Move out over the next decade.
In response, a Democratic-led people’s council was convened to try to stop the exodus. Last week, her liberal proposals were full of failed Democratic approaches, with only one Republican lawmaker on the council voting in favor against it.
Another Republican, a legislator from the Upper Peninsula, whose residents are called “Yoopers,” said the Democratic proposals were so misguided that Yoopers might consider “closing the bridge and exploring statehood.” Obama won the Upper Peninsula in 2008, but voted for Trump in both 2016 and 2020.
“Grocery prices are high; electricity bills are high; Democrats are actively fighting to raise income taxes; and now the governor is using these proposals to rationalize tax increases and force ordinary people to foot the bill for unnecessary new programs.” he said Rep. Gary Prestin (R-Cedar River).
In neighboring Ohio, which like Michigan depends on auto manufacturing jobs, Trump gains a 12-14% lead over Biden at Emerson College vote. Trump’s landslide in Ohio could cost Democrats the U.S. Senate and two seats on the Ohio Supreme Court.
John and Andy Schlafly are the sons of Phyllis Schlafly (1924–2016) and run the continuing Phyllis Schlafly Eagles writing and policy work.
