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The Universal List of 2015 shows the growing cultural division and political polarization

The universal census office gave an annual Christmas gift for demographic junkies: his estimates of the population of 50 states and the Colombia district for mid -2015.

They show where the nation has been growing since the universal census of April 2010, the period after the recession in 2007-2009 and covers three-quarters of Obama’s presidency. They show, which states that Americans move in and come out, and what countries attracted the most immigrants.

It is worth looking at it, because the cool precision of numbers provides tips to the balmy impulses of human hearts in which people decide to dream or avoid nightmares.

In this five-year period, the people of the nation increased from 308.8 million to 321.4 million, which sounds very much-we are the third popular nation in the world-but in fact it is slightly lower than any other than any other such period since the 1930s.

The growth was very uneven. The largest percentage of growth rates concerned the northern Dakota (13 percent), Gentryfying district in Colombia (12 percent) and much larger states of Texas (9 percent), Colorado, Utah and Florida (8 percent). Large percentage from the decade 2000-2010, Nevada and Arizona, to a lesser extent in this decade, like Georgia, Carolinas and Virginia.

In total, 45 percent of the population of the nation took place in three states of Sun Belt: Texas, California and Florida. But it came from completely different sources. In Texas and Florida, there were more net migration from other states – national influx – than immigration. It was also true in the case of the rapidly developing North Carolina, South Carolina, Colorado, Arizona, Nevada and Washington.

Political analysts in the last decade have predicted that severe immigration would make these more democratic countries. But in this decade it seems that every such movement will depend more on national migrants who seem democratic in some states (Washington and North Carolina), but not others (Texas, Florida, South Carolina and Arizona).

In any case, as Pew Research Center documented, there is no net immigration from Mexico since 2008; Incomers were adapted to those who “self -enlarged”. This states confirmation in the 2015 estimates, which show immigration numbers in 2010-2015 much lower than in 2000-2008 in the states that had severe Mexican inflows: California, Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Texas and Illinois.

Immigration in this decade exceeded the national rate in just 12 states and DC, with the highest rates in Florida and the northeast (DC, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut and Virginia).

In these states and in California and Washington, immigrants seem more and more often Asians, many with a high level of skill, and not Latinos, almost all relatively low skills. Those of us who called on the revision of immigration law to favor newcomers from high kkill, apparently see something like that resulting from market forces under current law.

High immigration plus Illinois had the highest national outflow rates in the country, reflecting high tax rates, weighty regulations and high housing prices. As a result, they trade Americans on immigrants, whose political result is a tendency to make these countries even more democratic.

This is perceptible when you group you according to a political tendency. 23 Republican states increased by 5.1 percent in 2010-2015, 11 target states 4.2 percent and 16 democratic states plus 3.2 percent DC. (I classify Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Karolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin as target countries. You can probably guess which of the others is Republican and Democratic.)

Republican states gained 2.3 million newcomers, evenly shared between immigration and domestic influx. The target states gained 2.0 million, two -thirds of immigration and a third from the domestic influx. On the other hand, democratic countries lost 1.8 from the domestic outflow, but gained 2.8 million immigrants – more than half of the national immigration.

In general, the population growth and mobility fall compared to the previous decade; People tend to develop in the resolved economic times. The annual immigration number remained more or less the same in 2010-2015 as in 2000-2008, but during these previous years they probably do not understand the flow of illegal immigrants, which seems to be much greater than recently.

But the trend is continued by Americans and immigrants to look for other their own kind, and people with different cultural values ​​and political views choose their lives in various states and communities. All this suggests that today’s political polarization does not disappear in the near future.

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