In this election cycle you will not defeat “Outsider” with the “establishment” candidate. A candidate for anti-establand will take over the anti-establyment candidate in the next 16 basic and club states.
With the exception of former President Bill Clinton, also known as “Return Kid”, no one won the White House in contemporary history, which did not win Iowa, New Hampshire or Southern Carolina. At this point, Marco Rubio runs to preserve the Republican brand, hoping to transfer this race to the convention, where he convinced that delegates would choose him. The problem with this scenario is that it is likely that Rubio will not win any great states on Tuesday. He also did not win his own state of Florida- the winner takes all the states or Ohio, on March 15. If Rubio does not win in any of the 14 states next week, “Marcomentum” will be the past before reaching Florida.
It should be remembered that even with all the prestigious support of Rubio in South Carolina and Nevada, he still lost significantly for Trump in both states! To sum up, he defeated Cruz only with lean margins of Razor. To be straightforward, I suspect that if Cruz received half of the support and positive reports from the media as Marco Rubio, it would be a two -way race between Cruz and Trump.
Nevada was to be a must -have state for Rubio – his “dam”. He lost himself very much! However, if you listen to experts, Cruz is crazy from staying in the race, because “evangelicals” do not accumulate on him. Evangelicals are capricious, many are up-to-date in the arena of politics, and most of them are at best nominal. Not to mention this, Donald Trump threw the keys to everyone this year. Cruz recalculated like Rubio in Iowa and New Hampshire. This is nothing that one solid debate cannot fix!
Unfortunately, the establishment hates him so much, it seems that they prefer Trump or Hillary to win the White House just so as not to stop him. I heard journalists and radio hosts ruthlessly discredit Cruz because of his campaign tactics, relations with other politicians, lack of attractiveness to moderate and his inability to win “evangelicals”. Many of these programs or columns have not been mentioned that with good results of the debate he is the only “anti-trump” candidate, which will probably win in any of the states of Super Tuesday next week. He is also the only other candidate and the first Latino who won the club’s state as a presidential candidate. Celebrating GOP leadership, I conveniently forgot to recognize.
In a duel with Trump, Cruz did better than Rubio. Cruz showed a tendency to Trump, while Rubio played safely for fear of embarrassment. Another slip like New Hampshire, and Rubio knows his presidential aspirations, and in 2016 you can disappear.
You can only check the 2nd, 3rd and 5th place for so long before voters find out that you are not winning! Rubio constantly reminds the media that the polls show that he is the only candidate to defeat Hillary in November. Untruth! Surveys show that he would have a slightly larger margin of victory than other candidates, except for Trump, who loses with Hillary. Surveys also show that he did not win the basic race in the near future! If he thinks that the polls that were inexact at best, why did he not mention the basic polls?
On March 1, Minnesota will organize a closed club, while thirteen other states will also keep their clubs and basic. Alaska, Colorado, North Dakota and Oklahoma will accommodate closed clubs. Wyoming will be the main on Super Tuesday. Meanwhile, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont and Virginia are “Open Basic”, where even Mickey Mouse can vote.
Basic open are beneficial for moderates. That is why Donald Trump should be very successful in these states. Unless there is another bad performance of the debate, it is expected that Cruz will win the states of Texas and Arkansas. Alaska and Tennessee can also be in the game, and Dr. Ben Carson has slipped in surveys so far. Rubio’s best chances for Super Tuesday seem to be in Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Virginia and Tennessee. However, current polls show that he will not win one of them!
Like Nevada, Florida is a mandatory state for Rubio. Payment of a distant third, after Trump and Cruz! Sorry, with Trump in the race, no one can go throughout the month without winning the state and expect the nominee for GOP! Even if you are a favorite of the media and establishment! The projection of Rubio’s inevitability as the best candidate for “Anti-Trump” would have been amusing if it wasn’t for the main information services and the host of the conversation radio forcing the narrative.
Listen, I like Rubio! He is an undeniable talent and I believe that one day he will become president. But the facts are a stubborn thing! Bill “Gang of Eight” hurt him! Ted Cruz does not practice the “fraud pattern”, calling him to the bill! He also has a lack of experience in the private sector. A good look, and a velvety tongue wrapped in the GOP company package can take you to many places, but the White House in 2016 is not one of them.
If you buy narratives about the GOP and the media establishment, they will be convinced that Rubio may be the only GOP candidate who lost the first 20 basic states and keys, but will remain the “most elected” candidate in the insurgent year! This is crazy! How do you have to be without contact? In the year of “bystanders” everything I can say, I’m sorry, Cap’n will not happen!
