For trumpites, there was always the opportunity to win a billionaire of the GOP businessman. For everyone, a different view that Donald Trump can be a standard carrier of Republicans in 2016 becomes a terrifying reality. The field of GOP is getting smaller, but not quickly enough to create a consolidated anti -peak voice. Meaning at the moment. Ted Cruz (R-TX), Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Trump form the highest field level. Cruz is besieged for supposedly conducting a campaign devoid of honesty, which was clearly shown when Rick Taylor, who was recently released as a communication director of Senator Texas, sold lies about a film that showed that Rubio had mocked the Bible. The incident took place in the lobby in South Carolina Hampton Inn. Rubio fell into a Cruz employee reading the Bible with the father of Senator Texas, Rafael, and noticed that the holy book “made”[n]Oh have many answers. “It turned out to be false, and Cruz asked Tyler yesterday.
This is just one of the many problems facing the Cruz campaign. Yes, he has a deep chest war on a great Tuesday, but in addition to the stunning pool of countries with the demographic of voters, conducive to him; Has a problem with the image. Allahpundit noticed that great Tuesday It may be the last position of Cruza:
The up-to-date survey from Massachusetts has today Trump is running Rubio … 50/16. There is no time to lose. While we are at the same time, Rubio should probably go forward and promise Cruz that he will be his first nominated to the Supreme Court, if Cruz is coming back now and supports him. This asks Cruza a lot after winning Iowa, but Cruz is nothing if it is not calculated. If he no longer overcomes Trump among evangelicals and stares at a long race with a relatively compact number of evangelical voices after March 1, his path is gone. If he fights and loses, he gets stuck in the Senate as an unpopular younger member, whose party drifts in the opposite direction ideologically from him, which makes the successful run of 2020 or 2024 – especially when he lost the basic, unlikely – unlikely. If it comes out now and withdraws Rubio, it can be another scaller.
He also mentioned that maybe Rubio should direct Larry Sabato’s advice; Offer to Vice President Kasich in exchange for his support. Last night, then CNNIN Daily caller Matt Lewis suggested that the campaign is meeting and agree that only Cruz should be in Texas to win his state of Rubio to Florida and Kasich to block Ohio delegates needed to gain Trump’s nomination. He admitted that it was an extreme secondary protocol burdened with desperation.
Or Rubio can be in a better form to win the nomination now when Bush is outside. Oh, and he saw
Despite his first place, Trump’s behavior here made it hard for him to get support for building a lasting majority. His acidic attacks on the basic elements of the Republican Party hardened his opposition to him. Last week, the NBC/Wall Street Journal survey showed that both Rubio and Ted Cruz conveniently beat him in the original one -on -one duels, which is a decisive transition from an earlier survey. Trump won only 16 percent of delayed voters from southern Carolina, significantly behind Rubio and Cruz, suggesting that his antics of the campaign cost him at least support.
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Reduced, as the establishment is in GOP, its three privileged candidates (Rubio, Bush, John Kasich) overtook Trump, 38 to 33 percent. Rubio’s goal will now be a mighty achievement of suburban elements, educated in college in the states of Super Tuesday Sec (Nashville, North Virginia and in the suburbs of Atlanta to mention only a few). It is a constituency that prompted Mitt Romney to win in 2012. If Rubio can achieve sufficient thresholds of southern delegates on Super Tuesday (the growing possibility considering the results of South Carolina), he would be able to lead the delegate two weeks later with the victories his home state of Florida and other swing states that take the basic one that day. Trump may be a leader, but Rubio’s chances of winning the nomination have never been higher
Kraushaar’s friend, Charlie Cook, He went a little furtherNoticing that both Cruz and Rubio defeated Trump in one -on -one duels. He admitted that although this is a single WSJ/NBC messages The survey, although considered to be a “golden standard” in the survey – it can be the beginning of a trend in which Trump does not appear as nominated for GOP:
In one Cruz was the first of 32 percent, Trump the second with 30 percent, and Marco Rubio third with 26 percent. In the second combination, Cruz had 38 percent, Trump 32 percent, Bush 9 percent. The third combination of Cruz in the first place with 37 percent, Trump with 31 percent, and Kasich with 18 percent. The last one stated Cruz at 36 percent, Trump at 29 percent and Carson at 12 percent.
When the survey brought two candidates to each other, Cruz and Rubio beat Trump by 16 points, Cruz escalate by 56 to 40 percent, Rubio 57 to 41 percent. Trump came out with Bush by 11 points, 54 to 43 percent, showing how reduced Marek Bush became. Compared to the less known Kasich, Trump increased by 8 points, 52 to 44 percent.
Asked if someone could see how they support each candidate, 70 percent of the main GOP voters could see how they potentially support Rubio, 28 percent could not (net plus-42 points), 65 percent could be supported by Cruz, 33 percent could not (33 percent It could not (33 percent could not (33 percent could not (33 percent could not (33 percent (net plus-32), 62 percent may support Carson, 35 percent could not (net plus-27), 56 percent may support Trump, 42 percent could not (net plus-14), 49 percent may go from Kasich, 41 percent could not have been (net plus-8) and only 46 percent may withdraw Bush, 53 percent could not (minus-7 net). Kasich probably suffers because voters are not as familiar with him as with other candidates.
One survey is not a trend, but my feeling is that we see the beginning of one. It is not clear whether there was a change, because Trump’s routine became obsolete, or because he went too far in the debate, or because GOP voters focused on choosing the president, not sending messages. Perhaps even the perspective of a free mandate in the Supreme Court strengthened the view that these elections are solemn matters with real consequences. I will say it again: Trump will not be a republican candidate.
Still, this is not full proof. Kraushaar noticed that if Cruz and Rubio were defeated in their family states, it probably meant that Donald would win the nomination. But if this is not confirmed, which many already say about him: he has a ceiling. Rubio looks better, but as Guy wrote, the clock is ticking for the rest of the event to be able to lose Trump. The asteroid is approaching the zero barrier.
