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New polls show Trump losing to Harris in key swing states

by Robert Schmad

Former President Donald Trump is trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, according to The New York Times/Siena College poll released Saturday.

Harris leads Trump 50% to 46% among likely voters in three Great Lakes states surveyed NYT/Siena Pollswithin the margin of error of the relevant surveys. Without Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, Trump would have lost presidential elections even if he won all the remaining undecided states.

“When it comes to today’s NYT polls in PA, MI and WI, some of the internal numbers seem unbelievable – like 42% for Harris among non-college-educated whites [example]”, veteran Democratic campaigner David Axelrod he said on social media Saturday, reacting to the polls. “If you adjust to them, you’re probably looking at basically tied races.”

Harris is becoming presumed candidate Support for the Democratic Party following President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race has largely blunted the flagging enthusiasm the party faced in November, according to a NYT/Siena poll.

Only 60% of Democrats said they were satisfied with the choices available to them in this election in May, a figure that had risen to 87% in the August NYT/Siena polls. By contrast, 74% of Republicans said they were satisfied with the candidates available to them in May, rising slightly to 79% in August.

“I am very proud to be part of this historic moment and I hope that yes, it will be the first African American slash Asian to be in the White House,” one Pennsylvania Democrat told the NYT. “I think it’s just an exciting time and an exciting moment.”

According to the NYT, voters have concerns about Harris’ ideological views – 42% of them said Harris is too liberal for them, while in October 2023, 37% of respondents said the same about Biden.

“I think she’s more liberal. I just don’t think she’s completely for the middle class,” a Michigan voter who plans to support Trump in November told the NYT. “I just see her as one-sided. You know, for the rich.”

Harris has recently distanced herself from some of her previous positions, such as support for supple border enforcement, a ban on fracking and a unified health care system, the NYT reports. Despite Harris’ attempt to pivot toward the center, fresh polls show voters still trust Trump more than the vice president on immigration and the economy.

However, polls show Harris is ahead of Trump when it comes to voter trust in abortion and democracy.

Pollsters surveyed about 619 people in Michigan, 661 in Wisconsin and 693 in Pennsylvania, which allowed for some demographic groups that were underrepresented among respondents, such as people without a college degree, to make the results more reflective of the general population.

Averages from polls compiled According to the NYT, the race is close, with Harris averaging 48% support and Trump 47% nationally as of August 10. According to the NYT averages, the two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania, while Harris is narrowly ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin.

When approached for comment, Trump’s campaign manager indicated slate with the latest polls from Insider Advantage and Trafalgar Group showing Trump ahead of Harris in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Arizona, but not in Michigan. Trafalgar Group significantly overestimated support for the Republican in 2022, Newsweek previously reported reported.

Harris’ campaign did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.

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Robert Schmad is a reporter for the Daily Caller News Foundation.
Photo “Kamala Harris” by Kamala Harris, photo: Kamala Harris


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