Of course, we want to win the presidential race. This is data, but what about the worst scenario? We must consider not very good results that may happen on the election night. If Kamala Harris receives a united government, it’s over. The good news is that in the US Senate it seems that in the US Senate there is more than a good chance that the Republicans will finally overturn the upper chamber, preventing the cuckoo’s movement like the elimination of a legislative filibuster. Because the Republicans looked as if they were successful this year in breaking the senator Jon Tester (D-MT), most said the Senate would reverse. But everything can happen, and the democrats can stop the Senate if Kamala wins (through Kamala NOW):
It seems that the control of the Senate probably goes from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party this fall, as one of the most endangered Democrats in the country, Senator Jon Tester from Montana, passes his republican pretender to be re -elected, according to the modern survey from the New York Times and Siena College.
Mr. Tester, who first won the election to the Senate in 2006, wins moderate and independent voters and runs far before the democrat at the top of the ticket, vice president of Kamali Harris. But for now it does not seem enough to survive in Montana, a conservative state in which former President Donald J. Trump is ahead of 17 percentage points and where the control of the Senate hangs in balance.
Tim Sheehy, a wealthy republican businessman and a former navy seal, which never served on the public office, leads your tester up to 44 percent, results from the survey. Driving Mr. Sheeha is a seven -point advantage without rounding.
Democrats currently have a 51-person majority of the Senate. But with the Republicans, getting a place after retiring Senator Joe Manchina III, independent of Western Virginia, which with democrats cannot afford to lose additional places.
In fact, the only hope of the party is to secure the division of 50-50 and make Mrs. Harris win the White House, allowing her colleagues, Tim Walz, to ensure a key vote for vice president.
Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-w) suffered a shocking fall, and her race now in the tossing column. Her internal elements reached the peak of Democrats, because they show only two points, while Kamala follows Donald Trump by three. There is no path to 270 if Kamala loses Wisconsin.
Ohio is the only state that is a bit strange. I do not understand how Trump can win by eight to ten points, and the Republican Berni Moreno cannot launch Senator Sherrod Brown. Can Larry Hogan get incensed in Maryland?
Time will tell, but one thing is clear: it is not good that Kamala cannot significantly overtake Trump with a warp of $ 1 billion.
