How great was Tuesday for Trump?

Super Tuesday nominating competitions went … more or less as expected, with noteworthy twists and turns on the way. In tiny, Hillary Clinton will be a democratic nominee – and although Donald Trump remains strongly in the GOP driver’s place, his night was not as dominant as possible when you fell asleep. Details:

(1) The technically democratic breed is over, but it might as well be. Hillary Clinton won seven states Bernie Sanders’ Four, but its conducting delegates It is constantly developingPartly thanks to powerful superdelegates. Between the victories and the Department of the Fact of the Vagon Law, he will probably achieve its goal, which is to postpone Sanders in the coming weeks. Perhaps her most symbolic victory last night was won in Massachusetts, in which her campaign poured resources and effort in a successful attempt to make a statement in the Sanders yard. She also crushed Sanders in the south, taking him badly among colored voters. Sanders campaign It can be vowy fight the convention in Philadelphia, but Hillary more or less He ignored him In their comments of victory (despite the sleeping of some of his materials), instead attacking Donald Trump and Republicans. It was a speech of “presumably nominated”.

(2) Donald Trump he is on the right track Become a republican nominated, although there are warning signs that a significant party segment will not go quietly. For example:

(1/2) Almost 3/4 of voters did not Trump GOP said that they would not be cheerful if he were nominated pic.twitter.com/mtpoob6r22

– CBS News Politics (@CBSPOLITICS) March 2, 2016

Trump fell Well, tiny applying for most delegates assigned on Super Tuesday; For comparison, Mitt Romney did it Due to the robust margin in 2012 (the same applies
McCain in 2008). If Trump’s rivals continue to pack fragments of available delegates in the next few weeks and they will be able to win a few enormous awards (Ohio, Florida, etc.) When the calendar is introduced to the winner’s zone-all, on March 15, Trump may be deprived of from 1237 delegates stop the disputed convention. Nevertheless, Trump undoubtedly remains a mighty leader in this race and will be tough to overcome at this pace. His decision to organize a press conference, not a somber speech, was strategic and worked well. The tone he adopted seemed to be deliberately subdued, because he established what would certainly be one of his topics against Hillary Clinton, if nominated: it was a huge part of creating a mess for many years, so it cannot be part of the solution. He expressed the hope that he was convenient with the leaders of the GOP Congress, if he was elected, but also issued Something like a threat Against the speaker of the house Paul Ryan. He threw David Duke’s white supremacy again, arguing that he thought he was clear in his (nothing else) controversial interview on Sunday. Once again, he did not clearly condemn the KKK, a topic that led to enormous fireworks on CNN between the supporter of Trump Jeffrey Lord and the liberal commentator Van Jones. Trump’s supporters and some conservatives can believe that at least you fought here, recalling the historical connections of the clan with the democrats, but in the 21st century it is …

This is not a helpful debate That every republican campaign would be involved:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Muis5K2SNPK

Although the chances of stopping it is tough, it’s just Is not a sign truly dominant favor:

(3) Ted cross She had a very good night, rompot Home TexasAnd choosing a neighboring Oklahoma when he was on him (with Alaska, who was tardy as a very close win). Cruz also received delegates in many southern states, in which he took second or third. After the triumphs of Texas and Oklahoma, Cruz gave a sporadic prepared speech in which he tried to save the GOP race again as a double affair (As I predicted), arguing that he is the only candidate who beat Trump anywhere. It was before Minnesota went around Rubio. Texan has repeatedly slammed his billionaire of celebrities, signaling that the debate on Thursday evening in Michigan will probably be another bruise. At the time of writing this text, he ended the night at least with Hundred More delegates than Rubio-Podskyc a point, which is best able to fight Trump one on one. The problem for Cruz is that the main map becomes much less hospitable to him after March 5. After a solemn insufficient taking into account the goals of the campaign among evangelicals (which he lost to Trump in many places) and showing circumscribed attractiveness among other Republican demographics, it can be justified that by the end of the week he will be the best Cruz territory in the reverberation mirror. His ”

Dam“It was not what had to be allowed him to march the victory path he imagined. To say that, these future fears do not deny the fact that Ted Cruz was happy A lot Better great Tuesday than any other Republican who did not call “Donald Trump”. You don’t believe me? Ask…Lindsey Graham?

(4) Marco Rubio I have learned on my own skin that the difference between obtaining a shiny media narrative and being a branded losing night may depend on several percentage points, and sometimes Breaking News. At the beginning of the evening, Rubio caused a stir when the output polls showed that he was winning late and running with Donald Trump in Virginia-where public polls established the lead of Trump in 15 points. It seemed that he fell into a virtual tie and had the opportunity to win a state. Ultimately, Trump summed up less than three points, winning only one delegate than Rubio in Stary Dominium. However, because Rubio did not win the state at the moment, the point of conversation “without a victory” began to fly. Until Rubio finally won the Minnesota, all candidates have already turned to supporters, and conventional wisdom began to appear. The good news for Rubio in Gopherland is that he dropped the monkey “No Wins”, returns, defeated Cruz and crushed Trump third place through double numbers. The bad news is that because of the state

Delegate of the rulesHis considerable victory did not build a greater advantage on this front. Rubio raised delegates in many states, ending in second and third place. But his lack of achievement of the delegate’s thresholds throughout the state in Alabama, Vermont and especially Texas was steep. Like the mighty show of John Kasich in northern Virginia, who He played a large role IN Rubio’s refusal The winning win at the beginning of the night. Due to the cruz dynamics mentioned above, Rubio is not going anywhere. It seems that his gloves against Trump operated in some places, but they were neutral and even negative elsewhere. One thing is certain: if he doesn’t win Florida on March 15 (as he is Now I swear), it brightens basically.

(5) John Kasich I finished second in Vermont, but it was almost factor anywhere else (he and Rubio are successfully connected Very Distant second behind Trump in Massachusetts). His game is Ohio. If you are in the “Stop Trump at the convention” camp, Kasich holding up and winning his family state may not be the worst thing. Unless his supporters do not stamp another candidate who does not Trump in another key state. All At this point, the roads to stop Trump are at best shaky. Ben Carson It is a lack in this race. His campaign admits that they have no path to victory, but they insist that they continue to develop as long as “we, people”

giving them money.

(6) Luka of enthusiasm it still is A significant story In the 2016 cycle. Two data points:

GOP: ~ 7 million (not counting Kasich/Carson)

Demes: ~ 5.5 million https://t.co/vqaanviewy5

– Guy Benson (@Guypbenson) March 2, 2016

Over 1 million people voted today in GOP in Virginia, passing on the governor’s vote of Cuccinelli within 13 years.

– Guy Benson (@Guypbenson) March 2, 2016

I saw a lot Oohing and ahhing During the turnout in Virginia in 2016 vs. 2012, but four years ago the result was set in advance, and only Mitt Romney and Ron Paul qualified for voting. Comparison 2013 is more impressive. I will leave you a few insights about where this republican race is going. It seems that a change of the sea is underway, in which the enormous anti -peak depending on the “coalesce” strategy (this field does not thinner) to the approach “denying the required delegates”. Translation: Trump wins, his opponents wave him to stop him, but it It is not over yet.

Cruz and Rubio camps fail that they can win this nomination before Cleveland. Both camps push the convention scenarios.

– Chuck Todd (@Chuctodd) March 2, 2016

When you attach that nobody is leaving (except for the challenging $ spigot, which runs desiccated), it is straightforward to see a useful strategic role for everyone.

– Liam Donovan (@lpdonovan) March 2, 2016

It is much easier to imagine a war with two fronts, in which Cruz Siphons Delegates from Trump in red zones, Kasich/Rubio in blue zones.

– Dave Wasserman (@redistrict) March 2, 2016

The conversation “You reject, no, abandon” is now as useless as it was 2 weeks ago. Cruz and Rubio must continue the attack on Trump.

– Sean Davis (@seanmdav) March 2, 2016

Again, mathematics suggests that it is so UNDERSTANDED Application. Republicans in four states I will vote on SaturdayAnd then Puerto Rico on Sunday, followed by four more states this Tuesday. Fox News is Running a debate in Detroit This Thursday evening.