The results of the election last night contained something for everyone, because the Democrats achieved significant profits from the house to regain the lower chamber of the congress, the Republicans expanded their ranks in the Senate of the US On some, he really really stayed on some really. Important in the main states of the swing. The attendance was extremely high, breaking through after 2014 more or less 30 million Voters throughout the country. In the original relationship of Fox News, me He found this point About the extraordinary difference between the 2016 and 2018 cycles:
The point I just made @Foxnews:
Around this time, the media began to be stunned by the national result.
Tonight, conventional wisdom is maintained: a good map of the GOP Senate, Demes Winning House with suburban districts and DeMs are good at GOVS in Mid-America.
– Guy Benson (@Guypbenson) November 7, 2018
As soon as Mike Braun was announced the winner over Joe Donnelly in the Indiana Senate race, the upper chamber of GOP brightened significantly. I predicted that Indiana and Missouri would break in the same way, and they: both definitely in favor of republican pretenders. . Average election He showed both breeds effectively connected; No race was terribly close. North Dakota was an expected blow. And Florida finally produced another thinly something for a razor for Rick Scott, guaranteeing that GOP will be able to get many seats of the Senate, regardless of what happened to the West (in this letter it seems that Nevada has shifted blue, and Arizona is slender Razor). Meanwhile, Joe Manchin took place in western Virginia, though narrowly. The slow exacerbation was true. Take all these results and filter them through the prism . Defining the event of the Senate policy cycle and A pattern appears:
Kavanaugh was vital: four of the sensitive democrats “Big 5” will lose or lose today: Donnelly, Heitkamp, ​​McCaskill, Nelson. All four voted against Kavanaugh. The one who voted for Kavanaugh, Joe Manchin, reigns.
– Ed O’keefe (@edokeefe) November 7, 2018
On the side of the house, several early Republican survived in stuffy -looking districts in places such as Virginia (which was ultimately the main benefit for Democrats, assisted by the extremely faint candidate for the GOP Senate), Kentucky and Florida announces a good night for democrats, but not an epic wave of blue wave . Democrats It ended with cleaning In many suburban districts, as expected (see Virginia, New Jersey, Illinois, Texas and elsewhere), thus strengthening their takeover – but it can be worse for the party in power. On the governorate front, the opposition gained, as was commonly anticipated, but losses in the critical fields of presidential battles in Ohio, Florida and Iowa really sting. In anticipation of several excellent numbers, Republicans seem to be ready to control the majority of America governors, although their unusual dominance (33 GOP governors) has been reduced.
To sum up, it was a modest blue wave. Democrats performed slightly above the average for the event “outside” at home, did quite well, but not great, in governorate competitions and lost an vital area in the Senate. President Trump deserves significant recognition for helping many candidates at the Senate at the summit, guaranteeing that Senator Mitch McConnell will have additional, key voices that will facilitate confirm the federal judges nominated by Trump for at least the next two years. It was the highest conservative priority, so it is an extremely consistent win. The extended ranks of republicans make the democratic project to recover the Senate more challenging in 2020. I leave you with Note about the surveywhich some did not think in this cycle:
You have 506 races between the Chamber, Senate and Governor. The polls have a significant majority of them. What’s more, they obtained the general direction of the Chamber and the Senate almost exactly well. There were about many annoyers as much as you can expect.
– Nate Silver (@natesilver538) November 7, 2018
After finalizing all races, I will visit my forecasts again, which in the early hours of Wednesday morning look quite solid on the fronts of the Chamber and Governor – although it seems that I underestimated the benefits of the Republican Senate, though not much. I also suspect that many of you will enjoy this tribute to “Mitch cocaine” and the Kavanaugh effect:
Legit Lol, by a friend … #Cocinemitch pic.twitter.com/zddkhsqzay
– Guy Benson (@Guypbenson) November 7, 2018
