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Five things you don’t know about filling the Scalia vacancy

I told you that.

When Loretta Lynch was considered for the Prosecutor General, I told you that he was justice.

Nevertheless, the senators of the “establishment” moved heaven and earth to achieve their apotheosis. Now it is located at the top of the “Republicans” Republicans pay the price “of potential nominees to the court. The only reason why it is not a “finished contract” is that we have won so many votes against her earlier nomination.

Now, with the death of Antonin Scalia, even Republicans of the Senate seem to understand that the rates are apocalyptic. And the surprising number of them tries to act properly.

Here, for what is worth, my parliamentary and political advice is for them:

First of all: when the nomination is directed to the court committee for questioning, Harry Reid has the absolute right to transfer the case to the Senate floor – and nothing can be advised by Mitch McConnell.

When the nomination is in the Commission, Harry Reid has a request to release the nomination, as long as the Senate is at an executive session. Reid will reduce its application for writing and introduce it “according to the rule” to the executive calendar. At this point, every senator can transfer a discharge, as long as the Senate is at an executive session. And it is possible that Reid will try to discharge by 50 votes (plus biden), combining efforts to transfer a discharge application with a dissatisfied application to go to the executive session. If the application for exemption is accepted, he would be fine, with 50 votes (plus biden) to go to the nomination, as at an executive session. Usually, the nomination will require 60 votes. But if Reid is trying to destroy the principles of the Senate, “nominated”, it is possible that it can be done with 50 votes. (More about this later.) And, of course, the voice of the confirmation will pass through the 50-voice majority.

Now there are several “choke points” in this process. Even Republicans who are crap on the subject of “She deserves loud” can leisurely down when releasing the nomination from Chuck Grassley’s hands – in violation of the wishes of Mitch McConnella. They may also not have a “nucing” voting for the clot.

But do not make a mistake: a crushing pressure that has already caused Thom Tillis, Chuck Grassley and Orrina to saturated the pants and run away, will be more intense, because the prospects of victory become more close.

Secondly: conservatives had better hope and they pray that the “nuclear option” is not expanded.

Conservatives from the Chamber carried out a campaign attempts to destroy the principles of the Senate, so that their secondary bills would die through a veto, not a filibuster.

These conservatives may want to hope that nobody pays attention to them.

As we have seen, Harry Reid has the absolute right to force the Supreme Court’s nomination to the Senate floor. And there can be only one point where the process can be designed.

I know, I know. The precedent from November 2013 will report to release the nominations of the Supreme Court. But understand: “Nuclear option” is nothing more than a process in which 50 senators (plus biden) can do everything they want, whenever the hell they want to do. If 50 senators (plus biden) vote for appealing to the chairman’s decision that Krotura requires 60 votes, then he stops to exist for this vote.

Considering that people like Orrin Hatch have already gone-people like Mark Kirk should do it-conservatists have had better hope and pray that the threshold of sixty votes persists.

Third: if the Republicans fight, the problem will break politically towards them.

If he balances the nominee for Obama, there is no doubt that the court, in voice 5-4, will reverse the shares of Pro-Gun in Holder and McDonald. Therefore, according to the court, the second amendment will no longer be an individual law. And the second amendment will no longer apply to states. The second amendment will be effectively torn out of the constitution.

It is significant that Barack Obama did not explicitly become an anti-pistol until the day after the election in 2012-when he moved to the reactivation of the UN weapon trade treaty. And even after Newtown, the Democrats tried to argue that their weapon control proposals were nothing but “reasonable, healthy amendments” – although the second correction community knew it was a lie.

But what is threatened in court is an effective repeal of the second amendment – the redefinition of its scope, which makes it completely absent to ordinary Americans. ” )

Here are the states that will be crucial for the control of the Senate and control over the White House in 2017: Nevada, Nowy Mexico, Colorado, Florida (with “voting” in Redneck Panhandle), North Karolina, Virginia, Nowa Hampshire, Ohio, Iowa, and Pennsylvania (whose coal industry is also before the court), Minnesota, Michigan and Illinois.

With the possible exception of Illinois, there is no one of those states in which the call to set aside the second amendment is not a political death sentence.

As Democrats found out in 1994, 2000, 2010 and 2014, “Gun Control” is a real “third round” of American politics. And the democrats intend to take control of the weapon in a more stupid way than ever before.

Fourth: forget about the historical precedent; The problem is an unusual question about whether the unlawful president should be able to appoint psychedelic justice to rub his unlawful and unconstitutional actions.

Do not make a mistake: “judicial” of both parties are hypocrites and scum.

In the years 2005-7 Republicans talked about the false “obligation” of the acceptance or rejection of nominations-they tried to blow up the principles of the Senate to pack the courts. And it was Schumer who was ready to allow the Supreme Court’s vacancy for years, in the interest of shaping the court for his ideology.

Now the shoe is on the other foot.

But understand this:

It became clear when we voted in the NFIB vote against Sebelius, Kagan and Sotomayor turned into puppets that predictably implement Obama’s will. They can spend insignificant problems, but in relation to things that liberals care for, the sum of their “case law” can be reduced to two words: “Yes, master”. In fact, you can leave the Scalia chair empty, and this chair would be less predictable than Kagan and Sotomayor.

In combination with Obama’s tendency to ignore the law and the constitution in order to achieve his “transformational” goals, the effect of confirming the puppet would be to create an unlawful court regarding Obama’s unlawful actions. There is no historical precedent for this.

Fifth: Obama’s strategy is to put the “human face” to the nominee, and then choose Squisha Republicans one by one.

The advantage of watching MSNBC and reading The New York Times is that the Obamists repeated their strategy over and over again.

The “human face” process will start with the nomination.

But if Grassley conducts interrogations – and the committee members are forced to meet the candidate in anticipation of interrogations – this process will proceed.

When the nominea answers the questions before the committee – surrounded by his photogenic family – this process will accelerate.

And you can assume that the nominee will have a narrative in which he confesses “hunting history” and love for the second amendment and for ancient decideis.

All this will be strengthened by public pressure, which will make the effort of the arms control look like a walk in the park.

As in the case of toomey-manchin, senators somehow think that if they give rhetoric “deserve voting”, the pressure will somehow be improved. But in fact the pressure becomes more intense. Because when Obama says, “they deserve loud.”, In fact, “they deserve voting” yes “.

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