Over the past few weeks, Townhall has detailed what races are looking like in key battleground states, including those with a number of vulnerable Democratic incumbents. Where Democrats If leading, they look like they’re leading narrowly, and yet, they were upset that those leads weren’t real because those polls have been inexact before. And then you have those states where the Republican candidates themselves are leading or close to it.
The Trafalgar Group and/or Emerson College conducted polls in the following states: Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and even Washington.
Tuesday at Emerson College a survey was published in Nevada, what they did with 8 News Now and The Hill, where Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nevada), considered one of the most vulnerable incumbent senators to reelection, is running for reelection against Adam Laxalt, who previously served as the state’s attorney general.
Laxalt’s lead of 42 percent over Senator Cortez Masto’s 41 percent is certainly very narrow, and is within the margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. It is also fewer than the 4 percent who say they would choose someone else and the 11 percent who say they are undecided.
Significantly, Laxalt continues to outperform, while Senator Cortez Masto is underperforming. As Emerson’s press release explained, his approval rating is up a point since the July polls, while hers is down even more, by 3 percentage points.
As I mentioned in the VIP article from June, the weakness of Cortez Masto was highlighted as be first on the list senators exposed to attacks from RollCall in May, as well as in relations with Associated Press Press Agency, The Washington Timesand from POLITICIANemphasizing that she is a person who is “sensitive” to threats.
Since then, Senator Cortez Masto has found herself in even less flattering media coverage, including on NBC News.‘Our Best Chance’: Republicans Pose Serious Threat to Nevada’s Cortez Masto“The Hill also warned that “Nevada Could Cost Democrats Senate MajorityEven The Washington Post fact checker attacked Senator Masto last month regarding how “Cortez Masto’s failed attack on Laxalt’s opioid recordfor which she received “Three Pinocchios”, which translated means “mostly false”.
Senator Cortez Masto also showed some pretty disgusting pro-abortion priorities when she tweeted last Friday about legislation she supported that is sponsored by Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA). The bill, the Stop Anti-Abortion Disinformation Act, which has been ridiculously dubbed the SAD Act by its supporters, seeks to fine and shut down privately owned and funded pregnancy shelters.
That same day, Laxalt responded to the tweet with a tweet of his own, also recalling that pregnancy centers have been targets of vandalism and even violent attacks in recent months.
While Senator Cortez Masto may be fascinated by her pro-abortion stance, it doesn’t seem like her fellow Nevadans are. While Emerson ranked it as the second most vital issue for voters, the 18 percent who say it’s their most vital issue still pales in comparison to the 42 percent who say the economy.
The race was even tighter in the gubernatorial race between Gov. Steve Sisolak, another vulnerable Democratic incumbent, and his Republican rival, Joe Lombardo, as 40 percent of voters support each candidate.
As in the Senate race, 4 percent said they would vote for someone else. A significant 12 percent are undecided. While Lombardo has consistently held at 40 percent from July to now, Sisolak has lost four percentage points since then.
Both Nevada Senate AND Gubernatorial elections are largely considered to be a “stone’s throw away”
The poll also shows bad news for President Joe Biden, as more than a majority, 53 percent, disapprove of the job he’s doing as president. Just 37 percent approve. Civiqs Survey Similarly, 53 percent of those polled in the state disapprove, while 40 percent support it.
Though Nevada voted in favor President Biden in 2020, 50.1 percent to former President Donald Trump’s 47.7 percent, this poll shows Trump ahead of Biden in a hypothetical 2024 showdown, 43 percent to Biden’s 40 percent. Nevada did not vote for a Republican for president since the election President George W. Bush in 2000 and again in 2004.
The poll was conducted Sept. 8-10, with 1,000 likely or very likely voters surveyed. Again, the margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Trafalgar conducted a poll last month that showed Laxalt leading Senator Cortez Masto by 2.4 percentage points. He also just suggested release including the upcoming poll on the Nevada gubernatorial race.
