by Manzanita Miller
The Democratic Party is in crisis as Democrats in Congress struggle to gain credibility amid the illegal immigration crisis, unchecked crime and political violence, and a controversial government shutdown that has Democrats demanding a indefinite expansion of Obamacare and a repeal of Sec. one substantial lovely act that stop taxpayers from subsidizing Medicare for illegal people. Conservative priorities such as rooting out government waste, fighting rising crime and securing the border, are enjoying an outpouring of support from the American people, with two-thirds of Americans identifying as either conservative or moderatewhile just 28 percent say they are liberal today.
The Democratic Party is rapidly losing membership and lagging behind the GOP in recent voter registrations. AND New York Times report sent a shockwave by the Democratic establishment in August, which revealed that as of 2020, Republicans significantly outnumber Democrats in registered voters. The report shows Democrats lag behind Republicans in every state that maintains partisan voter ID registries from 2020 to 2024. Republicans added a full 2.4 million voters, while Democrats lost 2.1 million, according to the report.
While that loss contributed to President Donald Trump’s landslide victory in 2024, since the report was released, Democrats have continued to trail Republicans in voter registration, even in blue states. Voter registration data shows red states are getting redder, but there is forceful evidence that even blue states are registering Republicans at an accelerated rate while Democratic numbers are plateauing or degenerating.
In the red state of Kentucky, Republicans are growing their numbers at an accelerated pace, as reported by Secretary of State Michael Adams Republicans registered the most recent voters in September compared to Democrats or independents.
“After six months of growth in registered independent voters, Republicans are now showing increased interest in registering ahead of the May 2026 primary elections.” Adams said.
Kentucky voter data shows Republicans added 4,636 recent voters in September and now make up 48 percent of the electorate. The number of registered Democrats dropped by 3,354 in September, and Democrats now make up 41 percent of the electorate.
North Carolina is another state worth watching. While Republicans continue to trail Democrats in a contested battleground, the GOP has fewer than 10,000 votes statewide as of September Data from the National Electoral Commission. Since January, Democrats have lost a total of more than 6,000 registered voters, while Republicans have gained 28,657 voters since the beginning of the year.
Democrats’ vote share increased in North Carolina he was on the decline for more than three and a half decades, falling from 65 percent of the vote in 1988 to just 31 percent in 2025, a decline of 34 points. While much of this decline in Democratic affiliation can be attributed to the augment in third-party or unaffiliated voters, the decline in Democratic affiliation should be very concerning for Democrats.
In New Jersey, some analysts speculate could become a “purple state” following forceful shifts toward the right in 2024, Republicans and unaffiliated voters dominate recent voter registration numbers. Data from the New Jersey Secretary of State show that while Democrats maintain a significant lead in voter registration, Democrats lost more than 4,000 voters in September, while Republicans added 2,385 voters during the same period. The majority of recent voters – more than 13,000 people – registered as unaffiliated voters.
Even in the blue state of California, Democrats are seeing degenerating voter registration numbers. Democrats still make up nearly half of the state’s registered voters, while Republicans make up 25% and nonpartisans make up 22%. However, since February 10, 82,700 recent nonpartisan voters have registered and 48,000 recent Republican voters have registered, while Democrats have registered only 190 recent voters, according to data analyzed by California Politics 360.
In Tennessee, the crisis isn’t theoretical – it’s happening in real time. In the recent TN-7 special primary, early voting in Davidson County (a key Democratic area) included just 3,343 in-person and mail-in ballots, of which 2,873 were from Democrats. Lisa Quigley, longtime Democratic Party activist, publicly criticized the turnoutcalling it “a complete breakdown of voter engagement in Nashville.” Her rebuke highlights that in a state already drifting toward Republicans, even major Democratic strongholds are failing to find their base.
In Nevada, registered Republicans outperformed Democrats in the election for the first time in about two decades, Related press reported in February.
In New Jersey, despite the Democrats’ enormous overall advantage, the Republicans won adding voters at a faster clip in recent months, as reflected in statewide tallies summarized by local coverage.
Across the country, multiple analyzes of state voter records show the same macro trend: between 2020 and 2024 Democrats fired about 2.1 million registrants while Republicans added about 2.4 million, reducing Democrats’ registration advantage to its lowest level in years.
On Thursday, President Donald Trump touted state-by-state registration growth for Republicans in a series of TruthSocial posts. In nine separate graphics, Trump outlined the number of recent Republican registrations since the 2024 election and, if possible, 2025. presented graphics both time-honored Democratic strongholds like California, New Mexico and New Jersey, and key battlegrounds like North Carolina, Iowa, Florida, Pennsylvania and Arizona – showing a total of almost 800,000 recent GOP voters.
Democrats continue to struggle to add recent members and appear to have reached their threshold even in blue states where the party’s strength is waning. The number of unaffiliated voters is growing and is responsible for much of the decline in Democratic voters, but Republicans are steadily gaining ground in red, blue and purple states leading into the midterm election cycle in 2026. The latest overall congressional voting data continues to show Democrats holding a historically modest three percentage point advantage. The Democratic Party has spent the last ten years vilifying President Donald Trump and conservatives instead of offering solutions to globalism, trade imbalances, the border crisis and escalating crime, and the left is slowly driving away moderate and independent voters.
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Manzanita Miller is a senior policy analyst at the Americans for Limited Government Foundation. Christina Botteri, editor-in-chief State of Tennesseeri Star News Networkcontributed to this article.
“2024 Electoral College Map” painting by 270toWin.com.
