In Florida, Democrats are panicking. The situation was described as surgery-related; they try to stop the bleeding. Months of not playing the ground game due to Covid-19 and hearing inflated poll numbers may have been a monumental mistake by the Biden camp. Right now, the early voting lead is less than 100,000. Over 200,000 have passed. days ago, and Biden is not doing as well as he should in Miami-Dade, the most populous Democratic county in the state. It’s all about the margins. Even Hillary’s 26-point victory couldn’t stop Trump from taking the state, and Hillary may have actually excited the Democrats. Biden is definitely not participating in any of this cycle. Biden’s loss in Florida drops his chances of winning the presidency below 50 percent, but a loss in Pennsylvania is a ball game. A win in Pennsylvania means Trump will likely carry Ohio, Michigan, maybe Wisconsin and possibly Minnesota. It’s possible.
Good news for Republicans in Pennsylvania: At home, Republicans are further narrowing their demographic advantage in voter registration | Analysis | The star of Pennsylvania’s capital https://t.co/yOPXkQyHFx
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) October 25, 2020
It’s comical that this state has been a unicorn state for years that Republicans have never been able to catch. Until 2016, the last time the Keystone State went Republican was in 1988. And now it’s still in real battleground territory. We noted earlier that this state of affairs is still not an option for Biden. He has an uphill battle ahead of him, and recent changes in voter registration numbers also point in Trump’s direction. It’s not demanding to see why. The state is full of white older voters. Fracking is a huge problem that means life and death for many families. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have already made their claims clear, saying they will destroy this industry. Despite the Democratic side’s declarations to the contrary, Pennsylvania voters know that Biden-Harris is full of it and comes looking for a livelihood. If Biden doesn’t do well, especially in Lackawanna County, expect a coarse night for Biden’s crew. “Late Shift” is starting to worry Democrats here too (via WaPo):
On Saturday, Joe Biden prepared to mount a last-minute, two-day assault on Pennsylvania amid concerns among some local Democrats about a potential last-minute swing that would threaten his narrow lead in the state and mirror the return of President Trump in 2016.
Most Democrats still believe Biden will win Pennsylvania and maintain a modest lead in polls there, but elected officials, strategists and party activists say their confidence has eroded in recent weeks as signs of tighter competition in the state have emerged. Both sides believe the result in Pennsylvania will be crucial in determining who wins the White House.
The reasons for Democrats’ concern are varied. They are concerned about potential problems with postal voting during the pandemic. They are concerned about the prospect of a surge among white voters, rural areas favoring Trump and signs of lower-than-expected turnout among Democratic supporters.
[…]
“I’m concerned about Pennsylvania,” said Neil Oxman, a veteran Democratic strategist who lives in the state. Oxman cited several concerns, including the possibility that Trump’s base “will be just a little bit stronger than our base.”
[…]
“The president has a very strong and solid base here, and his effort is to increase turnout in these small counties,” said Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (R-Ga.).
Additionally, the state’s governor, John Fetterman, admitted that Trump is doing well in small-town, rural Pennsylvania, which could wipe out Democratic turnout seen in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh areas.
That’s how Trump won in 2016 – and he’ll probably do it again. Unlike Romney in 2012 and McCain in 2008, Trump motivates and energizes these people.
Democrats beware.
(H/T Breitbart)
