It was going to be tight in Arizona. Trafalgar, the most correct battleground state poll conducted in 2016, showed Trump with a two-point lead. This was supposed to be another chick. Currently, Fox News is reporting that Mark Kelly defeated Sen. Martha McSally and Joe Biden took the state. It’s a coup, isn’t it?
ARYZONA
Trump 49% (+3)
Biden 46%
Jorgensen 2%@trafalgar_grupaLV, 25/10-28— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 1, 2020
New @trafalgar_grupa #2020Elections #The state of the battlefield #ASurvey conducted on 25/10-28 shows that the undecided are starting to break down, and Trump is still in the lead:
48.9% @realDonaldTrump,
46.4% @JoeBiden,
2.3% @Jorgensen4POTUS,
1.7% Other,
0.7% I. See the report: https://t.co/82DWAxq44d pic.twitter.com/jV0U6s2uTU— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) October 31, 2020
Not really. No one else called the race except Fox News, which surprised many. Arizona is named, but North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Georgia and other key states are not. Why?
BREAKING: Mark Kelly (no) defeated incumbent Martha McSally (R) in Arizona Senate race, @FoxNews projects.
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 4, 2020
Former astronaut Mark Kelly defeats Republican senator Martha McSally in special election matchup in Arizona, Fox News projectshttps://t.co/jc9GzdILdt
— Fox News (@FoxNews) November 4, 2020
Mark Kelly also called Democrats, which is a Democratic advantage in the Senate.
— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) November 4, 2020
Unofficial election results: The first wave of Arizona election results have been released.
According to these results:
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump, 54%-45%
Mark Kelly leads Martha McSally, 55%-45%
Prop 207 (marijuana): 60%-40% lead
RESULTS: https://t.co/ECR4RgG9GX pic.twitter.com/ECHAAqpH9m
— ABC15 Arizona (@abc15) November 4, 2020
Calling AZ before TX, FL, GA, NC is… weird
— Matthew Continetti (@continetti) November 4, 2020
Now, as I write this, Texas and Ohio have been called for Trump.
I’ve talked to several Trump campaign advisors and I can’t express how incensed the Fox campaign is about AZ’s completely unfounded call for Biden. They say that even if CNN and MSNBC haven’t called the race for the Democrats, you know something is happening.
— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) November 4, 2020
It’s way too early to call an election in Arizona. Votes cast on Election Day are not fully reported, and we haven’t even started counting votes cast early at polling places. In AZ, we protected Election Day. Before we make our declarations, let’s count the votes – all the votes.
— Doug Ducey (@dougducey) November 4, 2020
ZERO Votes have yet to be counted on Election Day. This is just speculation and wildly irresponsible. https://t.co/2J3CUN9mtG
— Natalie Johnson (@nataliejohnsonn) November 4, 2020
It seems like there are a whole bunch of votes on Election Day that haven’t even been counted. Additionally, CNN and MSNBC have not yet called the race. Arizona Governor Doug Ducey wrote on Twitter: “It is far too early to call an election in Arizona. Votes cast on Election Day are not fully reported, and we haven’t even started counting votes cast early at polling places. In AZ, we protected Election Day. Let’s count the votes – all the votes – before we declare.”
I thought it would be very close. Trump wins by a hair and Kelly wins by 1-2 points.
From the beginning, the number was around 73%.
— Jon Gabriel (@exjon) November 4, 2020
According to the Maricopa County Recorder’s website, no votes were reported for FOUR hours. And no votes since election day. What’s up, @RecorderFontes?
— Jon Gabriel (@exjon) November 4, 2020
Trump typically wins the vote 2-to-1 on updates these days.
— AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 4, 2020
My AZ sources are adamant that a decision on status is not certain.
— Hugh Hewitt (@hughhewitt) November 4, 2020
Jon Gabriel, an Arizona native and Ricochet competitor, tweeted that he thought the race would be close, but noted that the return rate was still 73%.
“I am not an election expert at all (obv). However, in the past, AZ results were updated several times per hour until they were all ready. Almost 2 hours have passed since new data appeared. Maricopa test results are 0%. From Pima 1.2%,” added Gabriel.
Wait for further information.
***
Senator Martha McSally is not budging.
2) “With one million votes to count and no election results available in Maricopa County, the decision to make this decision at this time is irresponsible. We will continue to wait for the votes to come in. This race is not over.” McSally spokeswoman Caroline Anderegg
— Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) November 4, 2020
