WASHINGTON – Even as more Latinos have switched to Republicans, a majority still voted Democratic in 2024, according to a up-to-date poll released Tuesday.
Conclusions from 2024 American Electoral Poll came a week after the historic presidential race in which Donald Trump defeated Vice President Kamala Harris to win a second term in the White House. Both campaigns focused heavily on Latino voters in their campaigns.
“National exit polls are wrong about Latinos in general and Latinos in particular,” Matt Barreto, co-founder of Barreto-Segura Partners Research, said during a press conference Tuesday about the poll results.
Among voters responding to the poll, 56% of Latinos said they voted for Harris, compared with 43% who chose Trump.
Roughly two-thirds of Latino voters voted for Harris, and about one-third chose Trump.
In turn, some exit polls he emphasized movement of Latino voters toward Trump.
The survey, which was sponsored by several national organizations, was conducted by data analysts and survey experts from Barreto-Segura Partners Research, the African American Research Collaborative and Harvard University.
Battlefield states
Between Oct. 18 and Nov. 4, the poll surveyed more than 9,000 Latino, Black, Native American, Asian American and white voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The study also provided additional data for California, Florida and Texas, given the huge share of minority voters in those three states.
“We have full confidence that our sample is accurate, that it is an accurate portrait of Latinos and Latinos, that it is balanced for their demographics, and that it was available in Spanish at each survey completion,” he added. added Barreto, who was a pollster and adviser to Harris’ campaign.
“In particular, young voters of all racial and ethnic groups became more Republican compared to 2020 – it was not due to any particular racial group, but all young voters changed compared to 2020.” – he added.
Shift of all parties towards the GOP
Henry Fernandez, CEO of the African American Research Collaborative, said that “this election was not about one group shifting toward the Republican Party, but about virtually every group shifting toward the GOP by a relatively small but consistent margin, largely because of concerns about costs.” life.”
“While voters of color voted overwhelmingly for Harris and white voters overwhelmingly voted for Trump, the shift toward the GOP occurred across almost all groups, even among younger voters on whom the Democratic Party was counting for its future success,” Fernandez said.
He added that “this weakening in support for Democrats occurred even as key issues that Democrats championed performed exceptionally well, both in ballot initiatives across the country and in our poll.”
Among all Latino voters, more than 6 in 10 said they voted for Harris, compared with just over a third who chose Trump.
Meanwhile, more than half of all Latino voters thought Democrats would do a better job of resolving the issue most critical to them, compared with about a third who thought Republicans would do so.
Inflation, health care cited
Across all racial and ethnic voter groups surveyed, inflation, health care and job costs, and the economy emerged as the most critical issues.
Abortion and reproductive rights also emerged as an critical issue for voters of all stripes, followed by housing costs and affordability and immigration reform for immigrants already in the United States.
Roughly three-quarters of voters across racial and ethnic groups supported federal legislation that would “guarantee access to abortion and give women control over their private medical decisions.”
Majorities of Black, Latino, Native and Asian American voters also expressed concern about Project 2025, a sweeping, conservative program developed by the Heritage Foundation.
Trump has sought to distance himself from the platform, although some former members of his administration helped write it.
Last updated: 17:43, November 12, 2024
