by Eric Lendrum
The latest polls indicate that the Republican Party will likely take control of the US Senate in November, which spells further complications for the ruling Democratic Party regardless of the outcome of the presidential election.
As reported Newsmaxsurvey conducted by New York Times and Siena College is focusing on three Senate races this year: Montana, Florida and Texas. Despite Democratic efforts to take over the former swing state of Florida or break through the traditionally red stronghold of Texas, both incumbents are ahead of their rivals in the polls.
In Texas, Sen. Ted Cruz (D-Texas) currently has 48% support against his Democratic challenger, Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas), at 44%. In the same poll, former President Donald Trump led Vice President Kamala Harris (R-Calif.) by 7 points. And in Florida, Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) maintains a commanding 9-point lead, with 49% over Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (R-Fla.)’s 40%. President Trump leads Harris in Florida by 13 points.
But most importantly, the race for Montana’s Senate seat appears to be all but won for the Republican Party. Incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (Mont.) has long been a GOP target as a Democrat in a deep red state, but he managed to get re-elected twice in 2012 and 2018 after his first election in the GOP’s blue wave midterms of 2006. This year’s GOP challenger, Tim Sheehy (Mont.), currently has an 8-point lead over Tester, while Trump leads Harris by 17%.
If Tester were to lose, it would be a 50-50 tie in the Senate between Republicans and Democrats, given the four independent lawmakers currently arguing with Democrats. One of those independent senators, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.V.), is retiring this year and is widely expected to be replaced by Gov. Jim Justice (R-W.V.), the GOP nominee. That would give the GOP a 51-seat majority and, if it retains control of the U.S. House of Representatives, full control of Congress next year.
Other seats in the Senate apart from those covered by Art Times polls are also starting to worry Democrats ahead of the November election. A recent survey from Quinnipiac University showed a tie in the Senate race in Michigan, with Congresswoman Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) and former Congressman Mike Rogers (D-Mich.) each at 48%. In Wisconsin, internal polling has been released Axles incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin’s (Wisc.) campaign showed her with just a 2-point lead over Republican challenger Eric Hovde (Wisc.).
Other Senate seats targeted by the Republican Party this year include Pennsylvania, Arizona and Nevada. The momentum among Republicans has been picking up in recent days, as evidenced by numerous polls conducted by institutions such as Quinnipiac and Emerson College showing that President Trump is gaining ground in most swing states, currently either leading Harris or tying in enough states to pass the 270 electoral vote threshold.
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Eric Lendrum reports for American Greatness.
