From the halls of Congress to the airwaves of CNN and MSNBC and the pages of The Washington Post and the New York Times, Democrats and liberal pundits are ignoring reality and predicting that the GOP is a dying political party with no supporters and is drawing its last gasp. But according to a fresh analysis of voting registration data by the Associated Press, there is even more evidence that the Republican red wave will look more like a tsunami.
“Political shifts are beginning to unfold across the United States as tens of thousands of suburban voters who helped win the Democratic Party in recent years turn Republican,” the AP reported, before retracting its damning findings:
More than 1 million voters in 43 states switched to the Republican Party over the past year, according to voter registration data analyzed by The Associated Press. The previously unreported number reflects a phenomenon that has been taking place in virtually every region of the country – in Democratic and Republican states, as well as in cities and tiny towns – since President Joe Biden replaced former President Donald Trump.
Yes, over a million voters have changed their registrations since Biden took office, proving that not only has he failed to rebuild America as a country, but he has also failed to build a winning coalition for his party. He is making America worse and dragging his party down with him.
As the AP analysis found, Democrats’ biggest losses were among some of their most critical voters:
[N]anywhere is the shift more pronounced — and threatening for Democrats — than in the suburbs, where well-educated swing voters who have turned against Trump’s Republican Party in recent years appear to be retreating. Over the past year, many more people have switched to the GOP in suburban counties from Denver to Atlanta, Pittsburgh and Cleveland. Republicans also gained ground in counties around mid-sized cities such as Harrisburg, Pennsylvania; Raleigh, North Carolina; Augusta, Georgia; and Des Moines, Iowa.
To state the obvious, the AP explains that the findings from its data “on party switching offer a stark warning to Democrats who were already concerned about the macro effects shaping the political landscape this fall.”
The AP report noted that “Democrats have no clear strategy for addressing Biden’s tepid popularity and voters’ overwhelming fear that the country is headed in the wrong direction under their party’s leadership,” twisting the knife a bit. Bing. Not surprisingly, “the Democratic National Committee declined to comment when asked about the recent surge in voters switching to the GOP,” the AP reports.
It is worth noting that some Democrats (and Republicans) change their party registration to cast votes in the opposing party’s primary to try to pit their preferred candidate against an underdog, and then typically vote for the Democratic candidate in the opposing party’s primary in the general election. But, as the AP adds, “the scope and breadth of the party switch suggests something much larger is at play.”
Moving slightly away from the suburban-level analysis, the AP also highlights Republican voter growth at the state level, which will further hurt Democrats at the ballot box in November in key battleground states ahead of the next presidential election in 2024:
In Iowa, Democrats maintained their advantage in party switchers by a 2-to-1 margin. This was reversed from last year, where Republicans were ahead by a similar amount. The same dramatic change is happening in Ohio.
In Florida, Republicans captured 58 percent of those switching parties in the final years of the Trump era. Now, in the last year, they are at 70 percent. And in Pennsylvania, the percentage of Republicans who switched parties increased from 58 to 63 percent.
If Democrats want to turn things around, they have shown little inclination to do so. Instead of responding to the crises or taking action to ease the pain felt by Americans, they have merely doubled down on the policies that have created crisis after crisis and, most notably, created inflation that has been at a 40-year high in the first place.
