Guy wrote about the tightening of the polls, particularly the fact that Donald Trump is within striking distance of Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania, trailing her by just four points. The Keystone State is the base of the Democrats’ eminent blue wall in the Northeast, but Real Clear Politics has Changed designation of the state from Clinton’s miss to uncertain. They also moved Virginia and New Hampshire to the uncertain column.
Is this all because of the FBI bombshell that was dropped last Friday that they would be reviewing another 650,000 of Huma Abedin’s emails? Katie wrote that the polls haven’t changed in airy of the event. In Pennsylvania, a Monmouth poll showed that the shift in Trump’s favor began before the bureau’s announcement last week (via “Philadelphia Inquirer”)
Clinton, a Democrat, has a four-point lead over Republican Donald Trump heading into the final days of the presidential campaign — 48 percent to 44, the poll shows — down from her 10-point lead in October. (A CNN poll released Wednesday showed an identical 48-44 split in Pennsylvania.)
But the poll showed little impact from Friday’s news that the FBI had reopened an investigation into emails related to Clinton’s time as secretary of state. A poll this week found that just 4 percent of likely voters said the developments had changed their minds, and their changes changed the presidential race’s lead by no more than one percentage point, the poll showed.
“It appears this change was already underway before Friday’s FBI revelation, which contributed only a small amount to the overall narrowing,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.
CNN explained on avenues 270 for Trump. They include a hushed majority of white working-class voters that could carry him to Michigan and Wisconsin, or low African-American and Latino turnout that could secure him victories in New Mexico, Colorado and Michigan. The news network also noted that if Libertarian Gary Johnson could pull votes away from Clinton, Colorado and New Hampshire could be added to the GOP column. All of those are tough tasks, but the momentum seems to be flowing toward Trump. The question is whether that momentum has started too tardy. The upside is that the GOP is strengthening its position in the down-ballot. The most likely path to victory is for Trump to win North Carolina, Ohio, Nevada, New Hampshire and Maine’s 2nd congressional district. That’s a tough road five days before Election Day.
