by Ben Whedon
Amid intense scrutiny over whether Democratic President Joe Biden is in the mental and physical condition to serve a second term, he appears to be losing support in Democratic stronghold New York, which has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
Polls conducted over the past four months have shown that presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has narrowed Biden’s lead to just 8 percentage points in New York state as a whole, where Democrats outnumber Republicans by a ratio of 2 to 1.
Meanwhile, Trump has a single-digit lead in virtually every swing state — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — according to the latest RealClearPolitics.com poll. So any victory in a blue-leaning state, including New York, which has 28 electoral votes, would clear the way for Trump to win.
Despite the Democrats’ winning streak in New York, Trump was determined to win in his home state and began campaigning there and in New Jersey.
During the bribery trial, Trump’s ability to campaign was restricted, so he decided to purposeful stops to address key communities. In early May, he held large-scale gathering in Wildwood, NJ
“Across America, millions of people in the so-called ‘blue states’ are joining our movement based on LOVE, INTELLIGENCE and, above all, COMMON SENSE,” he said recently.
Democrats sound the alarm
Under pressure from Trump, New York Democrats have become increasingly aware of their situation and are urging Biden’s campaign to invest in the state. But such a move would have drawbacks for a campaign trying to reassure voters that Biden’s holdout in the June 27 presidential election was simply a bad showing.
“The money that has to be spent here will be taken away from other areas that it will lose,” said former Democratic New York Gov. David Paterson. he said Political.
Manhattan Democratic Borough President Mark Levine told the news agency: “We still act like this is a one-party state, which it has been for 20, 25 years. I really believe we are now a battlefield state.”
They made their comments around the same time that the nonpartisan Cook Political Report changed the states of Arizona, Nevada and Georgia from “uncertain” to “leaning Republican” and Minnesota and New Hampshire from “likely Democratic” to “leaning Democratic.”
Fears of lower voices
The possibility of Biden losing in New York in 2024 has also raised concerns among New York Democrats about the junior race.
In the 2022 gubernatorial election, former New York GOP congressman Lee Zeldin’s near-successful campaign was widely credited with helping Republicans win key seats in the House of Representatives and take control of the lower chamber.
On Wednesday, Democratic New York Rep. Pat Ryan became the eighth House Democrat to ask Biden to step down.
“I would do him a great disservice if I said he was the best candidate to serve this fall.” he said to New York Times“For the good of our country, for the good of my two young children, I am asking Joe Biden to concede in the upcoming election and fulfill his promise to be a bridge to a new generation of leaders.”
Other members of the state’s congressional delegation, including Democratic Reps. Jerry Nadler and Joe Morelle He reportedly expressed support due to Biden withdrawing from a call with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries last weekend.
On Tuesday, Nadler appeared to change his mind, publicly claiming that “as the president said, 90 percent of Democrats voted for him in the primaries, and that’s the end of it.” according to the Guardian.
Trump smells blood
Trump has long vowed to expand the electoral battleground beyond traditionally Democratic states and seek Republican gains in left-wing strongholds like New York and New Jersey.
His campaign was organized mass gatherings and smaller stops in and around New York City, hoping to attract Democratic voters.
“I think we have a chance to win in New York. I think we have a chance to win in New Jersey” Trump said in January during an interview with Breitbart News. “If you look at Lee [Zeldin]”, lost in a fairly close race.”
In the interview, he also seemed to suggest that New York, under Democratic rule, was in decline.
“It’s 100 times worse now than it was two years ago,” he said. “You’ve got migrants living on Madison Avenue.”
In March, he said: “New York State is a very different place now than it was two years ago. … We’re going to be pushing New York very hard in the upcoming presidential election,” he said.
A Trump campaign spokesman indicated, Only news to a series of economic, immigration and crime figures, claiming that “Biden has failed New Yorkers” – including a state where cumulative inflation was 18.1 percent from January 2021
The spokesman also pointed to numerous incidents of illegal immigrants accused of acts of violence in the state. These incidents included the case of Bernardo Castro Mata, an alleged illegal immigrant from Venezuela who allegedly shot two New York policemen officers a few weeks ago.
Other states are on the table
Trump is also considering Minnesota and Virginia as potential acquisitions.
Trump campaign note Last month, it revealed plans to open 11 campaign offices in Virginia and eight in Minnesota.
And last month, the day after his debate with Biden, Trump held a rally in Chesapeake, Virginia, alongside Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin, a potential vice presidential candidate.
“Joe Biden is so weak and the Democrats are in such disarray that not only is President Trump dominating every traditional battleground state, but long-standing blue states like Minnesota, Virginia and New Jersey are now in play,” Trump campaign spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said. Only news.
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Ben Whedon is an editor and reporter for Just the News. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter.
Photo “Donald Trump” by Gage Skidmore. CC BY-SA 2.0. Photo “Joe Biden” by Gage Skidmore. CC BY-SA 2.0. Background Photo “New York” by Suman set.
