Cars are flooded in St. Petersburg, Virginia in July. Many canceled federal agreements that contributed to the loss of jobs in the state concerned flood control. (Photo courtesy of St. Petersburg Fire Rescue & Emergency Services)
Virginia and New Jersey may be among the countries most affected by the slowdown of employment, which enraged President Donald Trump when he appeared in Work report on August 1 Showing the United States had 258,000 fewer jobs than initially reported in May and June.
Such changes in previous reports are based on more current wage data and are routine. But the scale in this case was shocking-showing the smallest monthly growths of work since the time of Pandemia in December 2020 and the greatest revision of jobs, external, from 1968.
In response, Trump stated that the numbers were incorrect, dismissed the head of the office of work statistics and offered as a substitute Antoni, a loyalist who has Proposed suspension of work report. Trump said falsely in Truth Social Post That the changed number of jobs was “falsified, that the Republicans and I look bad.”
In addition, the attraction of the numbers show the actual effects of Trump’s work that reduces the federal government.
Data Stateline analysis shows how several states, especially Virginia and New Jersey, dropped work in the second quarter of this year, including May and June.
In Virginia, the loss of jobs was blamed for canceled federal agreements in North Virginia as part of the cuts made by the Department of Government Elon Musk, known as Doge. Meanwhile, the snail-paced housing market closed the plywood factory in the southern part of the state, and Doge’s efforts canceled the flood control contracts on the coast.
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Jay Ford, a politics manager at Virginia at Chesapeake Bay Foundation, told the Legislative Committee in June that in the Hampton Roads area near the coast near the coast near the coast near the coast near the coast is reduced.
This covered $ 20 million to deal with floods in Hampton, where almost a quarter of houses is in flood zones, and $ 24 million to repair the Portsmouth dam, which can cope in a immense storm, he said.
“This is a job that you needed desperately,” said Ford at the committee’s hearing. “It was composed on some fashionable words, such as” climate “or” immunity “, and I think that people combined some of these projects as somehow unnecessary.”
For example, the American Institutes for Research was announced 233 exemptions in Virginia in May and 50 in Maryland from the beginning of the year. Non-profit organization projects include cooperation with school districts in order to solve gaps in achievements and absenteeism, creating employee training powered by AI and solving health problems, such as improving the care of kidney disease, while reducing medicare and strengthening access to healthcare by maintaining rural hospitals.
“The changes taking place in the federal government brought significant challenges for many federal performers, including air,” said Dana Tofig, a spokeswoman for the company.
Other last releases in Virginia: 442 employees in Miter Northern Virginia, which manages the defense research funds financed by the Federal Research Centers and stood in the face of $ 28 million of canceled federal agreements; AND 554 employees in a closed plywood factory in southern Virginia.
“Challenges related to price affordability and 30 years of the lowest level of housing sales affect our company from plywood, because many of our plywood products are used in repair projects and reconstruction, which often occur when houses change ownership,” said Georgia-Pacific in May in May in May press release.
Stateline has been analyzed two surveys about work in the second quarter, which sometimes have completely different results: the so -called payroll examination of enterprises that the work statistics office uses in their monthly report, which has not yet been changed at the state level, and BLS Statistics of unemployment in the area A program that estimates change of work based on monthly household research.
Laus estimates are often called the “household” study because they rely mainly on household research, asking how many people are employed. They include job offers that cannot be obtained, such as agreements and agricultural work, and the capture of jobs where people live, not the states in which employers are located.
In a state such as Virginia with a immense number of federal employees and contract employees, lost jobs may appear earlier in a household survey, because many federal jobs are not reflected at the pay level at the state level, if they are carried out by subcontractors, if the agency or contractor is based in a different state, or if the cutting allowed people to stop, but stay on the payroll. People can report the unemployed in the study of households, but they will not appear in other surveys until October.
The farms of the farm in the Middle West suffered, while some Sun Belt states were still going on at the beginning of 2025.
The study of households shows the same number of slowing down profits as a changed national pay report, so it can be a window for trends, many caused by Trump administration cuts in the government, healthcare and foreign assistance, as well as by slowing down sales in shops and housing markets.
Both surveys are based on diminutive samples and are often changed later, said Charles Gascon, economist and research clerk at the Federal Reserve Bank in St. Louis. He said that the more final quarterly of the employment and remuneration inventory, established for issuing on December 3 in the second quarter, would show state patterns more clearly.
Household surveys show Virginia with the greatest loss of jobs in the country in the second quarter, which is a decrease in about 43,000 and loss of work every month from February. Earlier, the state gained work every month from the peak of the pandemic loss of work in April 2020.
New Jersey, who had the most losses of jobs-15 400-in a separate payroll surgeon in the second quarter, has He suffered exemptions In retail stores affected by a slowdown in consumer expenditure, increased theft in stores and, among pharmacies, processes regarding their role in opioid epidemic.
Walmart announced 481 dismissals in his Hoboken, New Jersey, corporate office and Rite Aid pharmacies, they released 1122 among chapter 11 bankruptcy affected by opioid crisis lawsuits It also hit Walmart and Other pharmacy chains. Pharmaceutical companies Bristol Myers Squibb and Novartis also announced hundreds of dismissals in New Jersey, citing the expiry of the patent for popular drugs.
Wobbles state finance
The growing unemployment in combination with a indigent escalate in income is suggested by “economic fragility” for state finances, said Lucy Dadayan, the main research collaborator at the City Tax Policy Center, who tracks state tax revenues.
Throughout the country, unemployment was 4.2% in July, just like July 2024, but compared to the last minima by 3.4% in April 2023, with the greatest escalate in Mississippi, Virginia and Oregon.
Unemployment fell most compared to July 2024 in Indiana, Illinois, New York and West Virginia.
California (5.5%), Nevada (5.4%) and Michigan (5.3%) were countries with the highest feet in July, while the lowest were in southern Dakota (1.9%), Northern Dakota (2.5%) and Vermont (2.6%).
“I think that the dramatic search of May and June Signision Signise Economic Faglity. Warning signs at the state level suggest that the effects will show up gradually,” said Dadayan. “And of course, countries face fiscal challenges caused by one great beautiful tax law and expenditure decisions.”
State finances are a mixed image, and income tax collections grow due to powerful stock market growth and sales tax escalate, when consumers withdraw expenses, said Dadayan.
Figures of release of the state give us early reading.
– Amanda Goodall, a working force analyst known as “The Job Chick” in social media
In Virginia, an economically disturbing area around Emporia will suffer a secondary shock from closing plywood plants, said Del. Otto Wachsmann, a Republican who represents the area in the house of delegates. The area is already spinning before an indefinite closure Nearby meat plant for lunch per head This employed 600 people after the outbreak of Listeria last year.
Wachsmann said that the community, part of the southern “wood basket”, has a immense wood acquisition industry, which will now have difficulty finding recent markets with higher transport costs. “We work hard to find new industries that have arrived here.”
The indicators of the exemption in April, calculated by the TechR human resources platform, were shown by New Jersey, Vermont and Virginia with the highest rates.
Amanda Goodall, a working force analyst who calls herself a “cane” in social media, said that the exemptions reflect restructuring in immense corporations, as well as federal cuts. She wrote about the indicators of the exemption recent post.
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“These are not statistical numbers. They reflect real corporate movements, especially in New Jersey and Virginia,” wrote Goodall We -Mail to Stateline. “The bigger problem is that no one in the area cares about what the unemployment rate says, if they cannot find an interview for the work to which he qualifies. Data for the dismissal of the state gives us early reading.”
California and Texas
California and Texas recorded the greatest profits from work in both surveys in the second quarter.
Texas added 42,700 jobs in a wage study, with the largest escalate in the category of private educational services, 14,400 jobs, because the state approved A Plan of school coupons Start next year, according to Stateline’s statement with Texas Workforce Commission.
California added 25,300 jobs. But household surveys showed an escalate of almost 111,000 jobs, the highest in the country.
Institute of Public Policy California Blog post in July Called the State Labor Market “at best, this year, this year, this year, citing a stubbornly increased unemployment rate by 5.4%, but also improving jobs last year.
“The detained pattern is a welcome change from a year ago,” said post, written by Sarah Bohn, an older employee of the Institute.
Tim Henderson, a Stateline reporter, can be achieved at tenderson@stateline.org.
