Trump dominates in Nevada Kaucuses-Pundits, Bloggers and the Bekita team that prophesied Donald’s death, certainly eat him after the billionaire Magnat had a huge night of silver games. Asset he drowned the competitionBy winning 45.9 percent of votes for 23.9 percent of Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX).
Donald took municipal, rural and suburban voters along with the key units of Washoe and Clark. Men, women, at all ages of thoroughly (except for 17-29 years; they went to Rubio), white, non-vivia, Latin (we will come to this in a second) and all who graduated from “poorly educated. “Another blow to Cruz Trump was taken by evangelical and conservative voting. As for problems – terrorism, economy, immigration and government expenditure – it was all Trump. When it comes to the features of candidates, Rubio was a candidate in which he can win that he can win in This year, Cruz took “my values”, and Trump took “Say as it is” and “can bring a change in the crowd of Washington.
Whether the cruz ship is falling? – Two things are obvious now. Evangelicals and conservative voters do not accumulate for Senator Ted Cruz, who was the target of very negative press over the campaign tactics reported, which are less than honorary. Fiasco, which took place in relation to his former communication director, Rick Tyler, pushing a clearly false narrative that Rubio laughed at the Bible during an accidental meeting with a Cruz employee in the Hampton Inn lobby during his stay in southern Carolina.
Senator Texas secured his plants for running as “consistent conservative”, and combining similarly thinking voters to win the nomination. But like many candidates in this cycle, he was pierced. Palmetto was adapted so that Cruz won, but took the disappointing third place and did not win a single countertop. While Cruz has advertised his campaign, it is the only one to beat Trump so far, two consecutive third place ends in the last two Point competitions to the formula for Rubio, who saw the Recommendation Flood and access to cash on the campaign after the Jeb Bush government left. from the race. Cruz had to go to the top in the battle to the second place last night and failed. In addition, Trump is developing its organization, having more paid employees at the moment than Cruz or Rubio. The conservative fire brand will probably not give up the fact that it still has money in the war chest, but Trump will probably take voters that Cruz has to break away from the super Tuesday – and the states that have significant evangelical and conservative voters immerse themselves after March 1. States that are more beneficial to his closest rival Rubio and of course Trump.
Adelson factor– Casino Tycoon voted yesterday with his wife Miriam, but refused to reveal who he voted for the last night. The Wall Street Journal met with a billionaire in his club location and deducting it It could have been Marco Rubio, Donald Trump or Rick Santorum. In 2012, Adelson dropped $ 100 million, so whoever is a benefactor of his support would certainly apply the campaign cash reservoir, especially if the candidate is not a person named Donald Trump.
Latin voting-Entrances have shown that Latinos won Donald, but there are many factors in the game. Latin decisions excellent These input polls are not the best meter, the size of the Latinos at the survey was only 130, and Latinos left the GOP:
We are only talking about a very petite percentage of Nevada Latinos, who are republican today. The overwhelming majority of Nevada Latinos are democrats. In the last survey asking about the identification of the party, 55% of Latinos said they were democrats, 29% stated that independent and only 16% stated that they were republicans. Assuming that the initial survey is correct (very huge assumption), and Trump won 44% of Latin Republicans, which means that about 7% of Latinos in Nevada (44% of 16 = 7.04) supported it. This means that most likely, 93% of Latinos in Nevada did not vote for Trump.
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Looking at the participation of Latinos in democratic and republican clubs, about 16,500 latinos participated in a democratic club and gave a democratic vote. On the republican side it was about 6,000, and Trump left about 2,600 Latin votes, i.e. only 11% of all participants in Latinos in clubs.
Yes, Donald had a great night again – but don’t read too much in a Latin survey.
The clock is ticking for Rubio– Senator in Florida has some wind on his back, but is it enough to pass by Donald, especially when he appears on March 15, where he appears he must win His home condition and possibly Illinois or Ohio to catch up in mathematics of the delegate with Trump. If it loses, it can be a ball game. However, input polls in Nevada show that Rubio Late deciding about voters. Nevertheless, this does not negate the insisting problem that this time is ticking, and this main schedule may not give Rubio enough time to maximize the positive factors that position themselves in this race.
Democrats are preparing for the Fight Club in Southern Carolina-Dream. Bernie Sanders (D-VT) and Hillary Clinton are preparing for the battle in Palmetto, where the first lady was former We are expected to defeat Sanders (Medium RCP beat him 57/33) because of its strength among black voters. Her very needed win in Nevada showed that her support for Black Democrats remains powerful and that the polls showing her national advantage were probably appropriate. At the same time, there is no doubt that Sanders Factor, which became a manifestation of a modern order with liberals because he saw his candidate strengthened by the legions of newborn Democrats. According to Dave Weigel Z Washington PostSuper Tuesday Clinton’s strategy is its apply Advantage with black voters Fully, where she probably won with the counseling over Sanders, but she added that after March 15 there are no southern basic foundations in which the democratic race changes north and west – in which Sanders could return. Fivethirtyeight’s Nate Silver noticed that Sanders could lose Nevady clubs, but he could win each other one from now on. Like the Republicans, democrats will also have their own blood sports. Let’s see what is happening after the Super Tuesday, since Weigel processes what many said that Clinton’s insufficient weakness: voters with a white workers class. Ronald Brownstein mentioned marinade Her campaign will soon face that we are trying to gain greater support than the white working class at the expense of reliable voters who form Obama’s coalition, or try to keep the coalition and risk the dedication of a larger number of white working class for the Republican.
On the road again– By National JournalTrump goes down to Virginia; Kasich is in Mississippi and Louisiana; Cruz and Rubio organize rallies in Houston, Texas; Clinton Surring Up Support in Southern Carolina; And Sanders sweeps through Missouri and Oklahoma.
