When the democrats still lick their beating wounds on November 4, many liberals are shocked, terrified and depressed. However, they hope that 2016 is the possibilities of recovering the majority, but there is a lot of uncertainty. At the beginning we have two years to the next election; It’s eternity in politics. But for now the field does not look very bad for Republicans. At the same time, we saw Kay Hagan and Mary Landrieu, who seems to be aiming at the outflow in Louisiana, return to Washington (via via Politico):
GOP has a larger pillow than expected for its modern majority, probably 54 places. More veterans of senators can remain to keep safe and sound places. And some sensitive sowing will have the chairman of the committee who could pump their profiles.
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This year, the most exposed democrats were in very red states; The most endangered Republicans in 2016 Will, with the exception of Illinois, will defend places in purple terrain.
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Democrats are already watching several losers in 2014 – or probably losers – to give him another place in 2016. Among them are [sic] Senator Kay Hagan (dn.c.) to challenge the republican senator Richard Burr, or senator Louisian Mary Landrieu, to apply for the Senate place of the Republican David Vitter, if he was elected a governor.
Until now, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Karolina, Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, New Hampshire, Florida, Ohio and Arizona are considered the most competitive in the 2016 cycle.
One of the states that can be a loss for Republicans in 2016 is Pennsylvania. The Republican Senator Pat toomey is unpopular – in the presidential year; Democratic turnout in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh could – like most GOP candidates in their entire state – will inform him. He must keep the line in the districts around Philadelphia – Delaware, Montgomery and Bucks – to survive, especially in Bucks, which he won in 2010. His rival in 2010, former Democratic Congresmen Joe Sestak, signaled his intentions to escape against Toomey again.
However, Harry Reid could be shown by the unbelievably popular Governor Nevady Brian Sandoval, who recently repeated the re -election with 70 percent of the votes.
As for the house, it looks like it will be in republican hands for a very long time (via NOW):
Any doubts about a republican hug at home should already disappear.
Receiving at least a dozen home fines in the elections last Tuesday, Republicans strengthened almost an unprofitable majority that could last through the generation, or as long as today’s political divisions between north -south, urban and village, juvenile and aged, as well as white and not white permanently.
Democrats can regain the Senate well and maintain the presidency in 2016. But all democratic hopes for the introduction of a progressive policy in matters such as climate change and unevenness will have to face the reality of the house dominated by conservative republicans. The chances that the Republicans will keep the Senate and took over the presidency are better than the chances that the Democrats will win the chamber, giving Republicans a better chance than Democrats in the adoption of their program.
After all the other GOP races are dissolved, about 249 places will end. Democrats would have to quit 32 seats to recover the chamber, but only 10 Republicans come from districts with a democratic indicator of guerrilla voting cook, statistics aimed at how far the congress district bends towards the Republican or democratic party, compared to the national average. Because so many Republicans represent conservative districts, GOP may even keep the chamber in the “wave” elections, such as those that in 2006 encouraged Democrats to power and restored Republicans to power in 2010.
But we must remember that nothing is eternal in American society; Democrats dominated in the House for over four decades before the Republican wave in 1994 left them in a minority. All things are coming to an end, so Republicans do not blow it better.
When it comes to the Senate races, things may become fascinating if the Republicans designate a reliable presidential candidate.
